Abstract: Explainably estimating confidence in published scholarly work offers opportunity for faster and more robust scientific progress. We develop a synthetic prediction market to assess the credibility of published claims in the social and behavioral sciences literature. We demonstrate our system and detail our findings using a collection of known replication projects. We suggest that this work lays the foundation for a research agenda that creatively uses AI for peer review.

Sessions where this paper appears

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    Fri, February 25 5:00 PM - 6:45 PM (+00:00)
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    Mon, February 28 12:45 AM - 2:30 AM (+00:00)
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